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Top 6 AI-driven Sentiment Analysis Tools for Stock Trading
- Vrinda Mathur
- Nov 25, 2024
AI has completely transformed how trading and investing are conducted in the Indian stock market. AI tools provide real-time information, customized advice, and advanced analysis. The goal is to use machine learning, sentiment analysis, and predictive analytics to improve decision-making, adjust portfolios, and identify trading opportunities in a volatile stock market.
Trader sentiment can serve as a contrarian indicator across financial markets. Trading based on mood may also help investors identify directional biases and possible market movements. This blog will explain what stock sentiment analysis is, give examples of sentiment indicators, and show how to use it while analyzing stocks.
What is Sentiment Analysis in the Stock Market?
Stock sentiment analysis can be used to ascertain investors' attitudes towards a certain stock or asset. Sentiment can sometimes provide insight into future price action. This is also an example of how trading psychology can influence a market, serving as a forecasting tool for potential future price changes in a specific asset.
Several factors influence stock mood, including news (economic, political, and industry-related) and social media. These factors influence stock sentiment by affecting stock market volatility, trade volume, and corporate earnings.
Sentiment analysis in trading is currently popular. Sentiment analysis is important in trading since it helps you understand how people feel about specific stocks, commodities, or currencies. It provides useful insights into how traders and investors perceive specific assets, which can influence their decision-making process.
Sentiment analysis examines and interprets the emotions, opinions, and attitudes conveyed in text data. Market sentiment describes market participants' overall attitudes and emotions towards a specific financial instrument or sector. It has the potential to impact traders and investors' purchasing and selling decisions.
Sentiment analysis uses natural language processing and machine learning approaches to discover the sentiment underlying text data, whether positive, negative, or neutral.
The principles of sentiment analysis involve assessing text using a variety of methodologies, including keyword-based analysis, rule-based linguistic analysis, and machine learning analysis.
Also Read | 1O1 Guide to Basics of Stock Markets
AI Based Sentiment Indicators to Trade Stocks
Sentiment indicators are commonly used to identify if a market is "bullish" or "bearish." When investors believe the price of a stock will rise, they may purchase the stock; if enough investors do the same, sentiment may be considered positive. Similarly, when investors believe the price of a share will fall and act accordingly by selling the shares, sentiment may be seen as pessimistic.
Here is a small sample of the sentiment indicators that traders and analysts might use:
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Volume Profile
Volume Profile is a popular sentiment indicator that shows the volume of trades at each price level over a given time period. It reveals areas of high purchasing or selling pressure. Traders utilise volume profiles to detect high-activity locations, such as support and resistance levels, which can influence market sentiment. For example, if the volume profile reveals a high volume cluster near a specific price level, it indicates that traders have a strong bias towards that level.
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Put-Call Ratio
Understanding put/call ratios requires an understanding of what an option is. A stock option grants traders the right, but not the responsibility, to purchase or sell a stock at a predetermined price (the strike price) on a specific future date. Investors typically use options to hedge or lower their portfolio's risk exposure.
There are two types of options: call and put options. A call option is the right to purchase a securities at a certain price (strike price) by a specific date (expiration). A put option, on the other hand, is an option to sell at a predetermined price and date.
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Odd-Lot Trading Statistics
This indicator tracks the number of shares purchased and sold in odd lots, which is typically less than 100 shares for most equities. The assumption behind this sentiment indicator is that individual investors, who normally have the least amount of money, are more likely to buy and sell odd amounts, buying when bullish sentiment is at its height and selling when bearish sentiment peaks. As a result, when odd-lot trading spikes during market extremes, astute investors may take a position in the opposite direction.
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Fear & Greed Index
The Fear and Greed Index analyzes the market's emotions and sentiments. It considers a variety of indicators, including stock price momentum, market volatility, put-call ratios, and safe-haven demand. The index spans between 0 and 100, with acute fear below 20 and extreme greed over 80. Traders use the Fear and Greed Index to assess market sentiment and look for potential contrarian trading opportunities.
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Social Media Sentiment Analysis
With the rise of social media sites, sentiment research has become an important tool for traders. TradingView integrates with social media networks such as Twitter, allowing traders to analyse sentiment through tweets and other social media posts. By monitoring social media sentiment, traders can evaluate public opinion towards a specific asset and potentially detect early indicators of market movements.
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Client Sentiment
Client sentiment data is obtained from retail traders and represents the percentage of those who are long or short an asset at any particular time. This data can be used to determine when positioning is approaching extremes in relation to the asset price. This is part of why sentiment analysis is known as a contrarian indicator.
Limitations of Sentiment Indicator
A sentiment indicator is intended to convey a group's feelings about the market or economy. These market psychology-based indicators try to quantify sentiment, in the form of figures or graphically, to predict how present views and positions may influence future market behavior.
Sentiment indicators are not time signals. An excessive reading on the Commitment of Traders report does not imply that the asset price will quickly revert. Extreme readings might persist for a long period, or the price may remain unchanged while traders unwind their holdings, and the extreme signal disappears without causing a large price reversal.
Sentiment indicators work best when combined with other types of technical and fundamental analysis to assist confirm market or economic turning points. For example, an excessively positive sentiment reading, along with an extraordinarily high price/earnings ratio (or deteriorating fundamentals), as well as a price breakdown, is more conclusive evidence of an imminent slump than acting just on sentiment.
Future of Sentiment Analysis
Advancements in data sources, NLP techniques, deep learning, real-time analysis, integration with trading systems, risk management, and explainability all point to a bright future for sentiment analysis in trading.
These advancements will allow traders to better use sentiment analysis to make informed trading decisions, minimize risks, and gain a competitive advantage in the market.
Sentiment analysis is important in trading because it provides insights into market sentiment and allows traders to make more educated decisions. mood analysis, which analyzes and interprets emotions, views, and attitudes conveyed in text data, allows traders to evaluate market mood, detect turning points, and better understand investor sentiment.
Also Read | 7 Metaverse Stocks to Invest in 2022
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