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Everything You Need To Know About the Bull Market

  • Hrithik Saini
  • Oct 04, 2022
Everything You Need To Know About the Bull Market title banner

Once you flick a coin, the outcome—heads or tails—is entirely dependent on chance and hence unexpected. It's possible to get consecutive heads or tails if you toss a coin 100 times in a row. Now compare this to the stock market's short-term activity, where downward momentum corresponds to tails and upward movement to head.

 

Similar to the outcome of tossing a coin and observing whether it lands on its head or tail, stock market movements cannot be forecast with accuracy in the near term. 

 

However, over the long run, a pattern may be recognized when successive upward or downward movement happens, and this is referred to be a bear market or bull market. In this article, we will learn about the bull market, its characteristics, and many other things. So, let’s get started.

 

What is Bull Market?

 

Bull markets are accompanied by enthusiasm, investor sentiment, and the belief that good performance would likely last for a long time. Consistently predicting when market trends could shift is challenging. The fact that psychological factors and speculative activity can occasionally have a significant impact on the marketplaces is one of the challenges.

 

There isn't a single, accepted indicator that can be used to recognize a bull market. But probably the most commonly used definition of a bull market is when stock prices increase by at least 20% from current levels.

 

Bull markets are hard to forecast, therefore experts often only notice this occurrence after it has already occurred. Recent history's most noteworthy bull market occurred between 2003 and 2007. 

 

The S&P 500 experienced a big increase during this time following a prior loss; when the 2008 financial crisis took hold, substantial reductions resumed following the bull market run.

 

Also Read | What are Boom & Bust Cycles?

 

History of Bull Market

 

Bullish market trends have been observed in every contemporary economy with a functional financial system and are characterized by a consistent increase of more than 20% in the prices of all stocks. Such market tendencies resulted in notable rates of GDP growth and overall country development, demonstrating a high level of affluence.

 

The economic bubble of 2006 was one of the biggest bull markets in recorded human history. It was brought about by exceptionally low monthly mortgage rates and high-exuberant predatory lending to financial institutions (those with bad credit histories). 

 

A stock market bull that resulted from an overinflated housing bubble saw individuals from around the world combine their funds to make profits in this industry.

 

Harshad Mehta, aka "The Big Bull," started another significant bullish movement in India by manipulating stock prices with money stolen from public banking institutions in order to make money. 

 

This led to a favorable market trend that encouraged amateurs to participate in such funds and established a good view of stock market investing. Long-term profits were realized as a result, demonstrating a bull market pattern.

 

 

Characteristics of a Bull Market

 

Several things frequently occur in conjunction with a bull market. To begin with, they frequently take place while the economy is robust or growing. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth, declining unemployment, and rising corporate profitability are frequently indicators of bull markets.

 

Rising business investment is another excellent non-numerical indication of a bull market. During these moments, there is a significant increase in the overall demand for equities, and marketplace discussion often has a positive "tone". 

 

Additionally, we frequently observe large levels of initial public offering or IPO, activities in bull markets because firms may obtain greater prices for their shares.

 

A bear market, which is often characterized by equities declining by 20% or more from either a recent top, is the reverse of a bull market. Recessions, a reduction in business confidence, and a drop in corporate financial performance are frequently seen in conjunction with bear markets.

 

Also Read | What is Frequency Distribution of Data Statistics?

 

 

How to Benefit from a Bull Market?

 

Those who wish to prosper from a bull market must participate early to gain from growing prices and dispose of their holdings at the market's top. Even while it might be difficult to predict when the bottom and top will occur, the majority of losses will be small and often transient.

 

In the section below, we'll look at a few popular tactics used by investors throughout bull market situations. These techniques do, however, contain some risk because it is hard to predict how the market will develop going forward.

 

  1. Increased Buy & Hold

 

A modification to the basic purchase and hold strategy called increased buy and hold entails more risk. The idea behind the increased purchase and hold strategy is that an investor would keep increasing their shares in a particular stock as long as its price keeps rising.

 

One frequent strategy for growing holdings is to have an investor purchase extra shares in a preset number for each 1% increase in the share value.

 

  1. Buy & Hold

 

Purchasing specific security and hanging onto it with the option to sell it later is one of the most fundamental investment methods.

 

Why keep onto the property until you anticipate a gain in its price? This technique inherently helps build confidence on the side of the investor. For this reason, the purchase and hold strategy is fueled in part by the trust that is associated with bull markets.

 

  1. Complete Swing Trading

 

The practice of full-swing trading is arguably the most vigorous technique to try to profit from a bull market. As movements take place within the framework of a bigger bull market, investors following this approach will play extremely active responsibilities, using relatively brief and other strategies to try to extract the most rewards.

 

  1. Retracement Additions

 

A retracement is a brief period of time during which the price of security deviates from its general trend. Stock prices are unlikely to continue rising even in a bull market. Instead, despite the main rising tendency, there will probably be shorter time frames with minor declines as well.

 

In a bull market, several investors keep an eye out for retracements and act to purchase during these times. 

 

This approach is based on the assumption that the bull market will continue and that the value of the investment in question will swiftly increase again, giving the investor a reduced purchase cost in the past.

 

Causes of Bull Market


Image represents the causes of bull market which includes large-cap companies, economic strengths and business cycle fluctuations.

Causes of Bull Market


  1. Large-Cap Companies

 

The main constituent of the important benchmarks indexes, which serve as an essential predictor of a bull or bear market for stocks, is large-cap corporations. 

 

Small and midcap firms are more susceptible to unsystematic changes, which can lead to a deceptive indication of the general market's development tendency. Rising benchmark index scores are mostly an indication of bullish markets as large-cap businesses show considerable long-term growth.

 

 

  1. Economic Strength

 

Governments with essentially solid policies, an efficient operating system to assure enough production of products and services, and favorable market circumstances that promote sales are more likely to have bull markets.

 

 

  1. Business Cycle Fluctuations

 

A boom era, an upward movement in the business cycle, occurs when an economy's productive potential and development rates significantly increase, as seen by growing GDP rates and optimistic market dynamics. 

 

Additionally, a nation's jobless rates are extremely low, and its per capita growth is increasing. Speculative demand is increasing due to more money available to spend, pointing to a positive changing market.

 

Also Read | Types & Examples of Revenue in Economics

 

 

How Does a Country Get Affected by the Bull Market?

 

A country's people have more money in their pockets thanks to a thriving economy brought on by large fiscal and monetary stimulation, which increases demand for the merchandise and commodities the nation has to offer. 

 

Consumer speculating expenditure is increasing as well, which is consistent with a rising trend inside the typical asset values of listed securities.

 

A favorable forecast for the performance of stocks raises current prices, guaranteeing enough cash flow for the corresponding public limited corporations. This leads to a high turnover, which raises the overall production produced.

 

A country's GDP, which is determined by the market value of all products and services produced within an economy, grows as a result of such a rise in levels of productivity.

 

High rates raise the standard of life for local residents by making up for an increase in supplies on the global market through higher productivity. This results in a nation's sustained overall development, with unemployment and poverty eradication, especially in developing countries.

 

 

Bull Market Phase Vs Bear Market Phase

 

Let's examine the distinctions between the bull and bear market phases below based on macroeconomics variables:


FACTOR

BULL MARKET PHASE

BEAR MARKET PHASE

Gross Domestic Production

Economic demand rises, causing more manufacturing capacity, increased sales, and levels of turnover. High GDP growth is anticipated.

Poor estimates for the GDP, a reduction in demand that caused a drop in output, low sales quantities, and turnover.

Inflation

The manufacturing rate is accelerating because of the rising demand, which is promising for wholesalers. Suppliers want greater pricing when wages grow.

Due to the need for merely necessities, demand declines or remains stable. Price increases in food, clothes, and FMCG products put some pressure on the retail market.

Consumer Segment

During this time, the economy is performing well across the board, including increased consumer spending. The likelihood that the industry will expand and perform well increases a person's ability to spend.

Consumption declines when disposable income declines. A person plans to save more money since the goal is to preserve their capital until the economy starts to rise again.

Employment

Production is booming, the industry is booming, and the economy is doing well. Positive growth results in more jobs.

A fraction of the industry and manufacturing units are impacted by the slow economy. In an effort to reduce expenses, this results in layoffs, which raise the unemployment rate.


 

As of 2022, Are We in a Bull Market?

 

A bull market generally develops when the market has increased by 20% more than from its recent lows. The stock market has demonstrated a tenacious bull market because of the massive market sell-off following the 2008–2009 financial crisis, rebounding considerably and hitting new all-time highs.

 

Also Read | Marginal Benefit Vs Marginal Cost

 

In a Bull Market, What Causes Stock Prices to Increase?

 

Bull markets frequently coexist with a powerful, healthy, and expanding economy. Future earnings projections and a company's capacity for cash flow both influence stock values. 

 

Growing GDP, high employment, and a robust production economy all indicate earnings will increase going forward, which is represented in increasing stock prices. Corporation profitability benefits from both low rates of interest and corporate taxation.

 

Conclusion

 

In this section, we covered the most important questions and terms related to the bull market. The stock market experiences bull markets and bear markets in cycles, much like other markets for tradable assets like commodities and cryptocurrency. 

 

Throughout history, there have been several instances of these boom and bust cycles, from the Great Recession to the market explosion and the Great Banking Crisis.

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